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Los mercados están haciendo eco de la nueva realidad en medio de mucha confusión y mucha volatilidad Guillermo García N.- Alberto Fernández resultó victorioso en las primarias argentinas registrando el 47.7% de los votos frente a 32.1% de Mauricio Macri. Este resultado es mucho mayor a lo esperado por los participantes y por las encuestadoras, quienes en su mayoría proyectaban hacia una elección mucho más competitiva (diferencia entre 1-5 puntos). Para ganar las elecciones en primera vuelta, el candidato ganador debe sacar más de 40 puntos y 10 puntos de ventaja sobre su rival más cercano o debe lograr más del 45% de los votos. En ambos casos Fernández se estaría adjudicando la victoria. La probabilidad de que Macri logre la reelección parece muy baja en este momento, para ello debería contar con todos los votos de los demás candidatos de las primarias y una mayor participación en las urnas (la…
